Match Result
Türkiye and Italy meet at the Atatürk Spor Kompleksi in Bursa on Monday in Matchday 2 of the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League. Türkiye open their Group A1 campaign against France on September 25, while Italy face Belgium in Rome on the same day. UEFA places Türkiye, Italy, France and Belgium together in League A Group A1.
The fixture is also significant for Italy head coach Roberto Mancini, who has returned for a second spell in charge of the national team. Türkiye remained under Vincenzo Montella, who has been in charge since 2023 and guided the side to the UEFA EURO 2024 quarter-finals.
Türkiye’s home advantage, Italy’s historical record and the opening results of both teams will provide important context for anyone researching UEFA Nations League betting, UEFA Nations League odds and Football odds before kick-off.
Key Takeaways From Türkiye vs Italy
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Türkiye Before the Match: Squad, Form and Key Players
Türkiye begin their second Group A1 fixture at home after opening the campaign against France on September 25. Montella’s team qualified for the 2026 World Cup and returned to League A after competing in League B during the previous Nations League edition.
UEFA’s current match information lists Türkiye’s recent form as W-L-L-W-W. Their recent results include a 4-0 victory over North Macedonia, a 2-1 win over Venezuela and World Cup defeats against Australia and Paraguay before a 3-2 victory over the United States.
Montella’s current 29-player squad contains a mixture of experienced internationals and younger players. Hakan Çalhanoğlu remains the captain, while Arda Güler, Kenan Yıldız, Barış Alper Yılmaz and Kerem Aktürkoğlu are among the team’s main attacking options.
Last Match Performance
Türkiye’s most recent competitive campaign came at the 2026 World Cup, where they recorded one win and two defeats in Group D. They opened with a 2-0 loss to Australia, followed by a 1-0 defeat against Paraguay before recovering to beat the United States 3-2. TFF confirmed that the victory over the USA left Türkiye with three points from their three group matches.
The victory over the USA provided a positive finish to the tournament, with goals from Arda Güler, Barış Alper Yılmaz and Kaan Ayhan. Türkiye’s opening Nations League fixture against France on September 25 will provide the most recent competitive evidence of their form before the meeting with Italy.
Next Match: Key Players & Expected XI
Goalkeeper: Uğurcan Çakır remains one of Türkiye’s principal goalkeeping options, with Altay Bayındır and Okan Kocuk also available in the current squad.
Defenders: Merih Demiral, Abdülkerim Bardakcı and Ferdi Kadıoğlu are among Türkiye’s established defensive options. Zeki Çelik, Ozan Kabak, Samet Akaydin and Eren Elmalı provide additional choices across the back line.
Midfielders: Hakan Çalhanoğlu, İsmail Yüksek and Orkun Kökçü are among the main midfield options. Kaan Ayhan and Salih Özcan provide further experience and flexibility. Kökçü’s fitness should be monitored after TFF reported that he missed the final training session before the France match because of continuing toe pain.
Attacking midfielders: Arda Güler is expected to remain one of Türkiye’s main creative players, with his technical ability and movement allowing him to operate between midfield and attack.
Forwards: Kerem Aktürkoğlu, Barış Alper Yılmaz, Kenan Yıldız, Yunus Akgün, Can Uzun, Deniz Gül and Oğuz Aydın give Montella several attacking options.
Captain and leader: Hakan Çalhanoğlu remains Türkiye’s captain and one of the team’s most experienced players. His passing, set-piece ability and leadership make him a central figure in Montella’s side.
Expected Türkiye XI – formation: 4-2-3-1
Uğurcan Çakır; Zeki Çelik, Merih Demiral, Abdülkerim Bardakçı, Ferdi Kadıoğlu; Hakan Çalhanoğlu, İsmail Yüksek; Barış Alper Yılmaz, Arda Güler, Kerem Aktürkoğlu; Deniz Gül.
This is a predicted lineup rather than a confirmed starting XI. Türkiye’s final selection will depend on the France match, player fitness and Montella’s tactical approach. Orkun Kökçü’s fitness should also be monitored before the Italy fixture.
Italy: Team News, Squad and Recent Form
Italy entered the 2026/27 Nations League under Roberto Mancini, who has returned for a second spell as head coach. Mancini initially selected a 34-player squad for the September and October fixtures, including nine players receiving their first senior Italy call-ups.
The squad combines established players such as Gianluigi Donnarumma, Alessandro Bastoni, Riccardo Calafiori, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Nicolò Barella and Sandro Tonali with several younger players. The squad has since changed, however, with Federico Dimarco withdrawing because of a physical issue and Matteo Ruggeri being called up as his replacement. Bryan Cristante has also withdrawn, with Samuele Ricci replacing him.
Italy’s UEFA form guide before the opening Nations League fixture is W-W-L-W-L. Their recent results include wins against Greece and Luxembourg, a 1-1 draw against Bosnia and Herzegovina followed by a penalty-shootout defeat, a 2-0 victory over Northern Ireland and a 4-1 defeat against Norway.
Last Match Performance
Italy’s most recent competitive fixture before the new Nations League campaign was a 1-1 draw against Bosnia and Herzegovina in March 2026, with Bosnia and Herzegovina winning the subsequent penalty shootout.
Italy then recorded friendly victories over Luxembourg and Greece in June. Those results gave Mancini a positive platform before the start of the new Nations League campaign, while the introduction of several new players has added further depth to the squad.
Italy’s opening Group A1 fixture is against Belgium on September 25 before they travel to Bursa to face Türkiye three days later.
Next Match: Key Players & Expected XI
Goalkeeper: Gianluigi Donnarumma remains Italy’s leading goalkeeping option and is the team’s captain. Marco Carnesecchi and Guglielmo Vicario provide further alternatives.
Defenders: Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Bastoni and Riccardo Calafiori are among Italy’s main defensive options. With Federico Dimarco unavailable, Matteo Ruggeri provides the principal replacement option at left-back. Giorgio Scalvini, Gianluca Mancini and Michael Kayode add further depth.
Midfielders: Nicolò Barella and Sandro Tonali remain important midfield figures, while Nicolò Fagioli, Davide Frattesi, Rolando Mandragora and Samuele Ricci provide additional options. Bryan Cristante is unavailable after withdrawing from the squad.
Attacking midfielders: Daniel Maldini, Giacomo Raspadori, Nicolò Zaniolo and Antonio Vergara can provide creativity and movement in advanced positions, with Italy possessing several interchangeable attacking options.
Forward: Moise Kean, Gianluca Scamacca and Francesco Pio Esposito are among Italy’s main centre-forward options, while Sebastiano Esposito provides another alternative.
Captain and leader: Gianluigi Donnarumma is Italy’s captain and one of the team’s most experienced current players. His leadership will be particularly important as Mancini begins another cycle with the national team.
Expected Italy XI – formation: 4-3-3
Gianluigi Donnarumma; Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Bastoni, Riccardo Calafiori, Matteo Ruggeri; Nicolò Barella, Sandro Tonali, Nicolò Fagioli; Daniel Maldini, Francesco Pio Esposito, Moise Kean.
This is a predicted lineup rather than a confirmed starting XI. Mancini could make changes depending on the Belgium match, player fitness and his tactical approach for the trip to Türkiye.
Türkiye vs Italy Head-to-Head Records
Italy has the stronger historical head-to-head record against Türkiye. According to UEFA’s current match data, the two nations have met 13 times, with Italy winning nine, Türkiye winning none and four matches ending in draws. Italy have scored 24 goals across those meetings, compared with seven for Türkiye.
The most recent meeting took place on June 4, 2024, when Italy and Türkiye played out a 0-0 draw in Bologna. Before that, Italy defeated Türkiye 3-0 at UEFA EURO 2020 and won 3-2 in an international friendly in March 2022.
| Date | Competition | Venue | Result |
| Jun 4, 2024 | International Friendly | Bologna | Italy 0-0 Türkiye |
| Mar 29, 2022 | International Friendly | Konya | Türkiye 2-3 Italy |
| Jun 11, 2021 | UEFA EURO | Rome | Türkiye 0-3 Italy |
| Nov 15, 2006 | International Friendly | Bergamo | Italy 1-1 Türkiye |
| Nov 20, 2002 | International Friendly | Pescara | Italy 1-1 Türkiye |
| Jun 11, 2000 | UEFA EURO | Arnhem | Türkiye 1-2 Italy |
| Mar 3, 1984 | International Friendly | Istanbul | Türkiye 1-2 Italy |
| Sep 23, 1978 | International Friendly | Rome | Italy 1-0 Türkiye |
| Feb 25, 1973 | FIFA World Cup Qualifying | Istanbul | Türkiye 0-1 Italy |
| Jan 13, 1973 | FIFA World Cup Qualifying | Naples | Italy 0-0 Türkiye |
| Sep 29, 1963 | Mediterranean Games | Naples | Italy 3-0 Türkiye |
| Mar 27, 1963 | UEFA European Championship Qualifying | Istanbul | Türkiye 0-1 Italy |
| Dec 2, 1962 | UEFA European Championship Qualifying | Milan | Italy 6-0 Türkiye |
The most recent meeting ended without a goal, but Italy remained unbeaten against Türkiye across all 13 encounters. The head-to-head record includes four draws, while Türkiye have yet to record a victory over Italy in this senior international series.
The historical record provides useful context for the September 28 meeting, although previous results span several decades and should be considered alongside the current squads, recent form and team news.
Türkiye vs Italy: Match Prediction and Analysis
Türkiye and Italy meet in Matchday 2 of UEFA Nations League Group A1 on September 28, with both teams first facing demanding opponents in the opening round. Türkiye host France on September 25, while Italy faces Belgium in Rome on the same day. The results, performances and player workloads from those fixtures could influence the lineups and tactics for the meeting in Bursa.
The fixture will be played at the Atatürk Spor Kompleksi in Bursa, giving Türkiye home advantage. Türkiye continue under Vincenzo Montella, while Italy are beginning a new phase under Gennaro Gattuso. Both squads contain experienced internationals and younger attacking options, making fitness, selection and the Matchday 1 performances important factors before kick-off.
Based on Recent Team Performance
Türkiye
- Türkiye’s recent UEFA form guide is listed as W-L-L-W-W.
- Türkiye defeated North Macedonia 4-0 in June 2026.
- Türkiye recorded a 2-1 victory over Venezuela before their World Cup campaign.
- Türkiye lost 0-2 to Australia at the 2026 World Cup.
- Türkiye then lost 0-1 to Paraguay before defeating the United States 3-2.
Italy
- Italy’s recent UEFA form guide is listed as W-W-L-W-L.
- Italy defeated Greece 1-0 in June 2026.
- Italy defeated Luxembourg 1-0 earlier in June.
- Italy drew 1-1 with Bosnia and Herzegovina before losing the penalty shootout 4-1.
- Italy’s previous listed defeat was a 1-4 loss to Norway in November 2025.
The September 25 Nations League matches against France and Belgium are not included in these form summaries because their results are not yet available at the time of this preview. UEFA lists both fixtures as the opening matches for Group A1.
Based on Their Previous Meetings
- Italy have won nine of the 13 senior meetings recorded by UEFA.
- Türkiye has not defeated Italy in those 13 meetings.
- Four of the previous 13 encounters have ended in draws.
- The latest meeting finished 0-0 in Bologna in June 2024.
- Italy have scored 24 goals compared with Türkiye’s seven across those UEFA-recorded meetings.
The historical record therefore gives Italy a clear advantage in previous meetings, although the upcoming match involves different squads and coaching situations.
Türkiye vs Italy Prediction
Prediction: Türkiye 1-2 Italy
Italy’s greater experience in international competition and their historical record against Türkiye provide important background for this fixture. However, Türkiye’s home advantage and attacking options should make this a competitive contest, particularly if their key forwards are able to exploit space in transition.
Türkiye can threaten through players such as Arda Güler, Barış Alper Yılmaz and Kenan Yıldız, while Italy have established quality in areas led by Nicolò Barella, Sandro Tonali, Alessandro Bastoni and Gianluigi Donnarumma.
The September 25 matches could still influence this assessment, particularly through injuries, player workload and tactical changes. With those results still pending, the current prediction remains Türkiye 1-2 Italy.
Türkiye vs Italy: Recommended Betting Markets
The following tips are based on the predicted Türkiye 1-2 Italy result. Readers comparing UEFA Nations League odds should check the latest prices, confirmed lineups, injuries and team news before kick-off.
Match Result: Italy to Win
Italy have won nine of the 13 senior meetings recorded by UEFA and remain unbeaten against Türkiye in those encounters. Their experience across the squad provides an important factor, although Türkiye’s home advantage could make this a competitive match.
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Türkiye have attacking quality through players such as Arda Güler, Barış Alper Yılmaz and Kenan Yıldız, giving them options to create chances at home. Italy also possess several attacking players capable of contributing, which fits the predicted 1-2 scoreline.
Over 2.5 Goals
The predicted 1-2 result would produce three goals, making Over 2.5 goals consistent with the overall match prediction. Both sides have attacking options, although confirmed lineups and the latest Football odds should be checked before kick-off.
Italy to Score Over 1.5 Goals
The prediction of two Italy goals reflects the visitors’ attacking options and experience. Players such as Moise Kean, Francesco Pio Esposito and Daniel Maldini provide different attacking profiles, while Italy’s midfield can also contribute to their attacking play.
Correct Score: Türkiye 1-2 Italy
A 1-2 Italy victory reflects Türkiye’s home attacking threat while giving Italy the edge based on their historical record and squad experience. The correct-score market carries greater uncertainty than broader match markets because it requires the exact final score.
| Prediction | Bet Type | Team/Player |
| Italy to win | Match Result | Italy |
| Both Teams to Score | BTTS | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | Goals Market | Over 2.5 |
| Italy over 1.5 goals | Team Goals | Italy |
| Türkiye 1-2 Italy | Correct Score | Türkiye 1-2 Italy |
For readers learning how to bet on football, it is important to understand how each market works, compare available prices and check confirmed team news before making any decision.
Key Factors Before Türkiye vs Italy
Türkiye have home advantage in Bursa and remain under Vincenzo Montella, while Italy began a new chapter under Gennaro Gattuso.
Italy’s squad has also changed ahead of the Nations League, with Federico Dimarco and Bryan Cristante withdrawing after the initial squad announcement.
The head-to-head record favours Italy, who have won nine and drawn four of their 13 UEFA-recorded meetings with Türkiye. The latest encounter ended 0-0 in June 2024.
For UEFA Nations League betting, late team news, confirmed lineups and current Football odds should be checked before kick-off. Readers learning how to bet on football should also understand the rules and risks of each market.
Responsible Gambling
Football predictions and betting markets involve uncertainty, and no prediction can guarantee an outcome. If you choose to gamble, set a clear budget, avoid chasing losses and only spend what you can afford to lose.
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Disclaimer
This Türkiye vs Italy prediction is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. Betting involves financial risk, and odds, lineups, injuries and other team information can change before kick-off. Always check the latest information and gamble responsibly.
